Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 46.1% vs Leino 45.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 58.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.2%
Neutral zone
Leino 56.8%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Smith
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Smith
Leino
Last 8: Smith 3-5 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Leino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
1
4
Smith
Leino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (244)
43.7% (254)
+1.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
43.8% (32)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Smith shoots left. Leino is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Smith
Leino
Home
51.3% (158)
45.0% (160)
Away
34.0% (100)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Smith
Leino
P1
37.2%
43.6%
P2
53.9%
42.3%
P3
40.8%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ville Leino |