Alexander Wennberg vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Zegras 35.4% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 68.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 95.0%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 88.3%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Wennberg
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wennberg
Zegras
Last 5: Wennberg 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
29.6% (230)
+16.2%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
32.1% (56)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
100.0% (1)
-62.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +62.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Zegras
Home
47.3% (607)
30.6% (147)
Away
44.6% (579)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Wennberg
Zegras
P1
44.5%
33.0%
P2
46.2%
31.7%
P3
47.4%
25.6%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |