Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Zegras 40.2% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 55.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.5%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Ryan
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
39.5% (1,582)
-1.4%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
41.4% (133)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
28.6% (7)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Zegras is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (552).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zegras
Home
38.3% (287)
40.6% (833)
Away
36.4% (195)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Ryan
Zegras
P1
34.2%
41.2%
P2
39.7%
39.1%
P3
38.6%
38.5%
OT
55.6%
35.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%