Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Zegras 39.2% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.3%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Ryan
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
38.6% (1,669)
-0.5%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
38.5% (148)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
28.6% (7)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zegras
Home
38.3% (287)
39.9% (882)
Away
36.4% (195)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Ryan
Zegras
P1
34.2%
40.2%
P2
39.7%
38.0%
P3
38.6%
37.7%
OT
55.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%