Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 95.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 87.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Thomas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thomas
Zegras
Last 5: Thomas 5-0 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
39.8% (128)
+13.4%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
22.2% (9)
+34.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
0.0% (1)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Thomas shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Thomas
Zegras
Home
51.6% (830)
29.7% (74)
Away
54.7% (819)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Thomas
Zegras
P1
52.7%
40.7%
P2
55.6%
35.1%
P3
50.6%
41.0%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 03:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |