Scouting Report
Zach Parise holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 39.2% vs Parise 42.2% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Parise 51.9%
Defensive zone
Parise 56.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.5%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Zegras
Parise
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (1,669)
40.9% (352)
-2.3%
Power Play
38.5% (148)
41.1% (95)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
35.0% (40)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Parise has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Zegras shoots left. Parise is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Zegras
Parise
Home
39.9% (882)
36.1% (238)
Away
37.4% (942)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Zegras
Parise
P1
40.2%
44.8%
P2
38.0%
39.4%
P3
37.7%
37.3%
OT
31.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
40.3%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%