Scouting Report
Zach Parise holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 40.2% vs Parise 42.2% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 50.0%
Defensive zone
Parise 57.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.4%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Zegras
Parise
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (1,582)
40.9% (352)
-1.4%
Power Play
41.4% (133)
41.1% (95)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
35.0% (40)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Parise has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Zegras shoots left. Parise is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Zegras
Parise
Home
40.6% (833)
36.1% (238)
Away
38.7% (889)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Zegras
Parise
P1
41.2%
44.8%
P2
39.1%
39.4%
P3
38.5%
37.3%
OT
35.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
40.9%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%