Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.5% vs Brouwer 50.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Brouwer leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.9%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 74.6%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 60.2%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Staal
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Staal
Brouwer
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
5
Staal
Brouwer
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Staal
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,126)
50.8% (122)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (239)
52.3% (193)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
49.6% (121)
+1.2%
On power play, Staal has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Staal is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Staal shoots left. Brouwer is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Staal
Brouwer
Home
56.7% (727)
56.6% (221)
Away
48.6% (703)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Staal
Brouwer
P1
50.9%
54.6%
P2
54.7%
48.0%
P3
51.9%
50.3%
OT
60.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |