Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Brouwer 50.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 56.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 87.2%
Neutral zone
McClement 76.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
McClement
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McClement
Brouwer
Last 6: McClement 5-1 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
McClement
Brouwer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
5
0
McClement
Brouwer
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
50.8% (122)
+4.9%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
52.3% (193)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (321)
49.6% (121)
-2.6%
On power play, McClement has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. McClement is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (449).
McClement shoots left. Brouwer is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
McClement
Brouwer
Home
55.9% (571)
56.6% (221)
Away
51.8% (689)
45.6% (215)
By Period
McClement
Brouwer
P1
55.8%
54.6%
P2
52.3%
48.0%
P3
53.3%
50.3%
OT
52.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |