Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.2% vs 40.0%). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Ruutu 41.0% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.3%
Defensive zone
Ruutu 53.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Mercer
Ruutu
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
40.3% (688)
-1.2%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
37.8% (119)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
36.4% (11)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Ruutu is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Mercer
Ruutu
Home
40.0% (755)
42.2% (438)
Away
38.5% (792)
37.4% (388)
By Period
Mercer
Ruutu
P1
38.2%
37.9%
P2
39.2%
40.7%
P3
41.1%
41.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%