Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ruutu wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruutu 41.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruutu 81.4%
Defensive zone
Ruutu 58.9%
Neutral zone
Ruutu 69.7%
Result
Tuomo Ruutu favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Ruutu
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ruutu
Smith
Last 7: Ruutu 2-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruutu
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruutu
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Ruutu
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruutu
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (688)
51.6% (5,265)
-11.3%
Power Play
37.8% (119)
51.2% (342)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.3% (985)
-8.9%
On power play, Smith has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ruutu is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Ruutu shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Ruutu
Smith
Home
42.2% (438)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
37.4% (388)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Ruutu
Smith
P1
37.9%
49.9%
P2
40.7%
50.0%
P3
41.3%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |