Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dellandrea 49.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 71.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 62.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Dellandrea
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dellandrea
Gourde
Last 9: Dellandrea 3-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dellandrea
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
3
1
Dellandrea
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Dellandrea
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dellandrea
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,108)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
57.4% (376)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (318)
39.9% (554)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Dellandrea shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Dellandrea
Gourde
Home
49.4% (741)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
49.0% (717)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Dellandrea
Gourde
P1
49.7%
49.9%
P2
48.6%
47.4%
P3
49.4%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |