Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Steen on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Steen wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 49.1% vs Bozak 48.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 50.9%
Defensive zone
Steen 51.8%
Neutral zone
Steen 57.4%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Steen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Steen
Bozak
Last 9: Steen 6-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steen
4
3
Steen
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
2
0
Steen
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (400)
48.8% (1,036)
+1.7%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
53.8% (225)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (105)
39.1% (138)
+6.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Steen is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Steen shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Steen
Bozak
Home
52.7% (260)
50.8% (608)
Away
45.6% (281)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Steen
Bozak
P1
51.1%
48.0%
P2
45.0%
48.1%
P3
50.9%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |