Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steen wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 45.7% vs Bozak 55.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 78.2%
Defensive zone
Steen 74.3%
Neutral zone
Steen 50.1%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Steen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Steen
Bozak
Last 6: Steen 3-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Steen
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
3
1
Steen
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (251)
56.4% (837)
-8.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.8% (186)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (100)
33.3% (36)
+2.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Steen is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Steen shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Steen
Bozak
Home
46.5% (213)
58.7% (516)
Away
41.7% (144)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Steen
Bozak
P1
50.0%
55.7%
P2
43.2%
53.4%
P3
38.2%
59.7%
OT
62.5%
63.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |