Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Loktionov wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.5% vs Bozak 52.4% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Loktionov 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.2%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 52.8%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Loktionov
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Loktionov
Bozak
Last 10: Loktionov 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
4
3
Loktionov
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Loktionov
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Loktionov
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
52.8% (697)
-14.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.9% (171)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
53.3% (195)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Loktionov is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Loktionov shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Bozak
Home
39.1% (110)
52.1% (530)
Away
38.5% (96)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Loktionov
Bozak
P1
43.1%
54.1%
P2
43.3%
50.6%
P3
31.9%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
38.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |