Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.8%). Kopitar wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.7% vs Bozak 55.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 55.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 67.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kopitar
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Bozak
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Kopitar
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (742)
58.3% (271)
-2.8%
Power Play
63.9% (219)
60.6% (33)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (193)
50.0% (78)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kopitar is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Kopitar shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Bozak
Home
58.7% (557)
60.7% (206)
Away
55.9% (597)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Kopitar
Bozak
P1
55.9%
57.3%
P2
60.3%
57.8%
P3
55.6%
56.2%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
66.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |