Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 29-16 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 72.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 63.9%
Neutral zone
Richardson 58.9%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Richardson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
29
(45 meetings)
16
29
Richardson
Bozak
Last 10: Richardson 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
12
Richardson
Bozak
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
9
7
Richardson
Bozak
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
10
Richardson
Bozak
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
53.7% (9,596)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Richardson
Bozak
Home
53.6% (3,164)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Richardson
Bozak
P1
52.3%
53.2%
P2
54.2%
52.8%
P3
53.5%
54.5%
OT
61.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |