Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.4% vs Bozak 55.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 53.9%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 76.2%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 61.0%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Dubinsky
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Dubinsky
Bozak
Last 10: Dubinsky 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Dubinsky
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Dubinsky
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Dubinsky
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (1,114)
56.4% (837)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.0% (166)
60.8% (186)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (204)
33.3% (36)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dubinsky is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Dubinsky shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Bozak
Home
54.2% (779)
58.7% (516)
Away
50.8% (705)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Dubinsky
Bozak
P1
52.9%
55.7%
P2
56.1%
53.4%
P3
49.0%
59.7%
OT
53.6%
63.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |