Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Bozak 53.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 58.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 67.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 53.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Sutter
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Sutter
Bozak
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
7
Sutter
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Sutter
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
53.8% (1,244)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
53.1% (356)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
49.1% (175)
-3.2%
On power play, Sutter has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Sutter is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Sutter shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bozak
Home
51.4% (692)
57.7% (892)
Away
49.8% (667)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Sutter
Bozak
P1
50.6%
54.0%
P2
49.1%
54.4%
P3
52.5%
51.0%
OT
45.8%
56.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |