Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 49.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 67.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 60.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Sutter
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
Bozak
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Sutter
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Sutter
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (274)
57.3% (483)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
57.5% (73)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (78)
42.3% (104)
+3.9%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Sutter is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Sutter shoots right. Bozak is 62.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bozak
Home
46.6% (178)
57.8% (332)
Away
51.0% (200)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Sutter
Bozak
P1
43.5%
52.7%
P2
51.7%
55.6%
P3
52.4%
56.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |