Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Paquette leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 91.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 70.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 77.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Paquette
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Paquette
Bozak
Last 10: Paquette 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
5
Paquette
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
6
0
Paquette
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
2
Paquette
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bozak
Home
50.2% (1,541)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Paquette
Bozak
P1
49.1%
53.2%
P2
49.9%
52.8%
P3
47.5%
54.5%
OT
20.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |