Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.0%). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Bozak 54.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 72.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Dvorak
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorak
Bozak
Last 5: Dvorak 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Dvorak
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Dvorak
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
57.3% (483)
-3.3%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
57.5% (73)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
42.3% (104)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dvorak is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Dvorak shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bozak
Home
58.6% (444)
57.8% (332)
Away
52.1% (505)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Dvorak
Bozak
P1
54.5%
52.7%
P2
53.6%
55.6%
P3
57.1%
56.7%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
55.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |