Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hodgson wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Bozak 52.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 76.4%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 76.1%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Hodgson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Hodgson
Bozak
Last 10: Hodgson 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
5
Hodgson
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Hodgson
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
51.7% (913)
-5.3%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
55.9% (211)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
54.9% (51)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hodgson is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Hodgson shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Bozak
Home
50.3% (286)
52.8% (615)
Away
43.6% (424)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Hodgson
Bozak
P1
48.2%
52.5%
P2
49.2%
51.1%
P3
41.9%
55.2%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |