Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Bozak 52.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 51.3%
Defensive zone
Adams 84.5%
Neutral zone
Adams 70.4%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Adams
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Adams
Bozak
Last 5: Adams 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Adams
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
51.7% (913)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
54.9% (51)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Adams is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Adams shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Adams
Bozak
Home
45.8% (131)
52.8% (615)
Away
44.7% (161)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Adams
Bozak
P1
46.4%
52.5%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
42.1%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |