Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Grant wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Bozak 55.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 75.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 52.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Grant
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Grant
Bozak
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Grant
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
6
1
Grant
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
58.3% (271)
-3.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
60.6% (33)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
50.0% (78)
-8.4%
On power play, Bozak has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Grant is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Grant shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Grant
Bozak
Home
51.5% (266)
60.7% (206)
Away
50.7% (300)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Grant
Bozak
P1
48.3%
57.3%
P2
52.2%
57.8%
P3
52.8%
56.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |