Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stafford wins 34.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 47.3% vs Bozak 52.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 59.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 86.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 75.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Stafford
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stafford
Bozak
Last 6: Stafford 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
3
1
Stafford
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stafford
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
52.8% (697)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
50.9% (171)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
53.3% (195)
-36.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stafford is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Stafford shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Stafford
Bozak
Home
49.1% (57)
52.1% (530)
Away
33.3% (27)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Stafford
Bozak
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
38.1%
50.6%
P3
44.1%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |