Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Boyd wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyd 47.1% vs Bozak 54.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 55.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.1%
Neutral zone
Boyd 57.0%
Result
Dustin Boyd favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Boyd
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyd
Bozak
Last 5: Boyd 2-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Boyd
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
2
0
Boyd
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Boyd
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyd
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (43)
54.2% (962)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
52.1% (188)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Boyd is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Boyd shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Boyd
Bozak
Home
36.4% (22)
58.6% (732)
Away
45.5% (33)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Boyd
Bozak
P1
41.2%
54.1%
P2
43.5%
55.0%
P3
40.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyd
40.0%▼
41.8%
41.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Dustin Boyd |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Dustin Boyd |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |