Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Jeffrey wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 45.8% vs Bozak 54.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 58.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 63.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Jeffrey
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jeffrey
Bozak
Last 7: Jeffrey 4-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jeffrey
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jeffrey
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (207)
54.2% (962)
-8.3%
Power Play
26.9% (26)
57.9% (266)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
52.1% (188)
-9.2%
On power play, Bozak has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jeffrey is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Jeffrey shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Bozak
Home
45.7% (116)
58.6% (732)
Away
42.7% (131)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Jeffrey
Bozak
P1
42.5%
54.1%
P2
48.4%
55.0%
P3
39.7%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
65.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
44.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |