Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.6%). Belanger wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 75.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 56.4%
Neutral zone
Belanger 52.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Belanger
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Belanger
Bozak
Last 5: Belanger 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Belanger
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Belanger
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
54.2% (962)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
57.9% (266)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
52.1% (188)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Belanger is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Belanger shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Belanger
Bozak
Home
58.2% (672)
58.6% (732)
Away
52.2% (625)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Belanger
Bozak
P1
54.4%
54.1%
P2
54.6%
55.0%
P3
57.1%
54.1%
OT
42.9%
65.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |