Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Bozak 52.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Malkin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Malkin
Bozak
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Malkin
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Malkin
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
52.8% (697)
-5.3%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
50.9% (171)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
53.3% (195)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Malkin is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Malkin shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bozak
Home
52.1% (213)
52.1% (530)
Away
42.0% (200)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Malkin
Bozak
P1
47.2%
54.1%
P2
44.4%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |