Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 50.3% vs Bozak 54.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 58.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 83.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Malkin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
Bozak
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
0
Malkin
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Malkin
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (774)
57.3% (483)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
57.5% (73)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
10.0% (10)
42.3% (104)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Malkin is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Malkin shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bozak
Home
49.1% (411)
57.8% (332)
Away
51.4% (465)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Malkin
Bozak
P1
49.5%
52.7%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
46.7%
56.7%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |