Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Bozak 53.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 79.4%
Defensive zone
Josefson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Josefson 54.9%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Josefson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Josefson
Bozak
Last 9: Josefson 4-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Josefson
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
1
Josefson
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Josefson
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
53.6% (977)
-8.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
52.2% (186)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
100.0% (6)
-65.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +65.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Josefson is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Josefson shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Josefson
Bozak
Home
43.5% (168)
55.4% (583)
Away
44.7% (152)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Josefson
Bozak
P1
42.1%
51.9%
P2
46.0%
51.1%
P3
44.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |