Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Bozak 52.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 79.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 60.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 63.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Stoll
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stoll
Bozak
Last 10: Stoll 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Stoll
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Stoll
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
51.7% (913)
+4.5%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
55.9% (211)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
54.9% (51)
-3.4%
On even strength, Stoll has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stoll is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Stoll shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bozak
Home
60.0% (620)
52.8% (615)
Away
49.7% (584)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Stoll
Bozak
P1
55.4%
52.5%
P2
54.6%
51.1%
P3
54.6%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2011 | OT | 04:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |