Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 56.4% vs Bozak 52.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 66.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 60.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 10: Jokinen 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Jokinen
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
0
Jokinen
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Jokinen
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (325)
52.8% (697)
+7.5%
Power Play
46.3% (54)
50.9% (171)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (53)
53.3% (195)
+1.4%
On even strength, Jokinen has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
60.7% (191)
52.1% (530)
Away
55.6% (241)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
57.8%
54.1%
P2
59.4%
50.6%
P3
56.7%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |