Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 54.0% vs Bozak 53.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 69.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 73.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 54.4%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Kruger
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kruger
Bozak
Last 5: Kruger 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Kruger
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
4
0
Kruger
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (244)
53.6% (977)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
52.2% (186)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
100.0% (6)
-57.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kruger is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Kruger shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Kruger
Bozak
Home
60.0% (135)
55.4% (583)
Away
51.3% (152)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Kruger
Bozak
P1
52.9%
51.9%
P2
58.3%
51.1%
P3
55.6%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
55.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |