Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cullen wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 50.3% vs Bozak 53.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 83.6%
Defensive zone
Cullen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Cullen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Cullen
Bozak
Last 8: Cullen 7-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
4
1
Cullen
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (637)
53.6% (977)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
52.2% (186)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (60)
100.0% (6)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Cullen is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Cullen shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Cullen
Bozak
Home
50.5% (400)
55.4% (583)
Away
50.2% (305)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Cullen
Bozak
P1
49.8%
51.9%
P2
48.8%
51.1%
P3
52.9%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |