Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Talbot wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 45.1% vs Bozak 52.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 92.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 64.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 75.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Talbot
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Talbot
Bozak
Last 10: Talbot 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
2
Talbot
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
4
0
Talbot
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (450)
51.7% (913)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
55.9% (211)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (163)
54.9% (51)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Talbot is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Talbot shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Talbot
Bozak
Home
47.8% (295)
52.8% (615)
Away
41.4% (345)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Talbot
Bozak
P1
47.0%
52.5%
P2
41.5%
51.1%
P3
44.5%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |