Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 46.2% vs Bozak 48.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 63.0%
Defensive zone
Talbot 51.5%
Neutral zone
Talbot 51.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Talbot
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Talbot
Bozak
Last 6: Talbot 3-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Talbot
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (107)
48.8% (1,036)
-3.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.8% (225)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
39.1% (138)
+4.5%
On power play, Talbot has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Talbot is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Talbot shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Talbot
Bozak
Home
45.5% (112)
50.8% (608)
Away
43.4% (113)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Talbot
Bozak
P1
42.2%
48.0%
P2
48.3%
48.1%
P3
43.7%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Max Talbot |