Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.7% vs Bozak 54.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 59.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 64.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 59.6%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lapierre
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lapierre
Bozak
Last 6: Lapierre 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Lapierre
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (280)
54.2% (962)
-0.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
57.9% (266)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
52.1% (188)
-17.2%
On power play, Bozak has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lapierre is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Lapierre shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Bozak
Home
50.3% (165)
58.6% (732)
Away
51.4% (175)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Lapierre
Bozak
P1
53.9%
54.1%
P2
46.1%
55.0%
P3
52.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |