Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.0% vs Bozak 55.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 71.2%
Defensive zone
Amadio 59.4%
Neutral zone
Amadio 70.9%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Amadio
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Amadio
Bozak
Last 6: Amadio 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Amadio
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Amadio
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (180)
58.3% (271)
-7.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.6% (33)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (78)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Amadio is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Amadio shoots right. Bozak is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Amadio
Bozak
Home
41.4% (58)
60.7% (206)
Away
53.8% (130)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Amadio
Bozak
P1
53.6%
57.3%
P2
38.8%
57.8%
P3
59.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
50.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |