Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 62.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Zibanejad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Bozak
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Zibanejad
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (809)
57.3% (483)
-8.4%
Power Play
53.4% (204)
57.5% (73)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (191)
42.3% (104)
+3.2%
On even strength, Bozak has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bozak is 62.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bozak
Home
49.8% (588)
57.8% (332)
Away
48.5% (616)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bozak
P1
47.4%
52.7%
P2
50.7%
55.6%
P3
49.0%
56.7%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |