Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Granlund wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 46.1% vs Bozak 53.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 76.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 65.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Granlund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Granlund
Bozak
Last 5: Granlund 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (235)
55.4% (719)
-9.0%
Power Play
43.6% (39)
45.1% (51)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (14)
50.0% (60)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Granlund is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Granlund shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Granlund
Bozak
Home
42.0% (143)
55.5% (443)
Away
47.6% (145)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Granlund
Bozak
P1
36.0%
53.3%
P2
44.2%
54.7%
P3
53.4%
55.4%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |