Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.6% vs Bozak 53.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 90.9%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 76.6%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 80.5%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Ribeiro
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Ribeiro
Bozak
Last 10: Ribeiro 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Ribeiro
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Ribeiro
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Ribeiro
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (1,121)
53.8% (1,244)
-11.1%
Power Play
46.2% (221)
53.1% (356)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
49.1% (175)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ribeiro is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Ribeiro shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Bozak
Home
44.9% (710)
57.7% (892)
Away
41.2% (638)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Ribeiro
Bozak
P1
43.8%
54.0%
P2
44.6%
54.4%
P3
40.3%
51.0%
OT
52.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |