Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 94.5%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 95.6%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 92.8%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Ribeiro
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
Ribeiro
Bozak
Last 10: Ribeiro 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Ribeiro
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
10
Ribeiro
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
7
Ribeiro
Bozak
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
53.7% (9,596)
-10.8%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
55.2% (1,990)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
48.0% (1,094)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Bozak
Home
44.1% (3,144)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Ribeiro
Bozak
P1
42.6%
53.2%
P2
44.3%
52.8%
P3
41.8%
54.5%
OT
49.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |