Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.3% vs Bozak 54.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 81.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Foligno
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Bozak
Last 5: Foligno 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (103)
54.2% (962)
-7.6%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
57.9% (266)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.1% (188)
+47.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Foligno is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Foligno shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bozak
Home
52.9% (70)
58.6% (732)
Away
41.2% (68)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Foligno
Bozak
P1
35.6%
54.1%
P2
53.1%
55.0%
P3
52.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |