Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 69.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 68.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Foligno
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Foligno
Bozak
Last 10: Foligno 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
7
Foligno
Bozak
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Foligno
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Foligno
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
53.7% (9,596)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
55.2% (1,990)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
48.0% (1,094)
-4.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bozak
Home
49.9% (2,013)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Foligno
Bozak
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
50.4%
52.8%
P3
48.3%
54.5%
OT
29.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |