Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.6% vs Bozak 54.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 77.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 60.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Berglund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Berglund
Bozak
Last 9: Berglund 6-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Berglund
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
1
Berglund
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
0
Berglund
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (792)
54.2% (962)
-6.9%
Power Play
42.5% (134)
57.9% (266)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
52.1% (188)
-9.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Berglund is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Berglund shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Berglund
Bozak
Home
46.8% (477)
58.6% (732)
Away
45.7% (497)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Berglund
Bozak
P1
47.1%
54.1%
P2
46.3%
55.0%
P3
45.4%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
65.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |