Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chartier wins 34.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 45.4% vs Bozak 53.9% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chartier 70.5%
Defensive zone
Chartier 60.5%
Neutral zone
Chartier 66.2%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Chartier
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Chartier
Bozak
Last 6: Chartier 0-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Chartier
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Chartier
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Chartier
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (77)
55.4% (719)
-17.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
45.1% (51)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.0% (60)
+16.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Chartier is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Chartier shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Chartier
Bozak
Home
37.0% (27)
55.5% (443)
Away
41.4% (58)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Chartier
Bozak
P1
48.1%
53.3%
P2
41.9%
54.7%
P3
29.6%
55.4%
Final 5 min
32.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
40.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |