Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.6%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.8% vs Bozak 52.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 64.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 60.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Carter
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Bozak
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Carter
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (69)
52.8% (697)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
53.3% (195)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Carter is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Carter shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Carter
Bozak
Home
48.7% (39)
52.1% (530)
Away
54.5% (44)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Carter
Bozak
P1
37.5%
54.1%
P2
54.8%
50.6%
P3
60.7%
53.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
51.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |