Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 64.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Carter
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Carter
Bozak
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
6
Carter
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
7
3
Carter
Bozak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
55.2% (1,990)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.6%
On power play, Carter has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Carter shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Carter
Bozak
Home
49.0% (506)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.3% (632)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Carter
Bozak
P1
50.5%
53.2%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |