Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Ott wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 54.8% vs Bozak 52.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 18-5 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 73.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 77.1%
Neutral zone
Ott 65.1%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Ott
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
5
(23 meetings)
18
5
Ott
Bozak
Last 10: Ott 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
10
2
Ott
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
5
2
Ott
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
3
1
Ott
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (305)
52.8% (697)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.8% (95)
50.9% (171)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (135)
53.3% (195)
+3.7%
On power play, Ott has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ott is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Ott shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Ott
Bozak
Home
58.7% (271)
52.1% (530)
Away
52.7% (264)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Ott
Bozak
P1
60.4%
54.1%
P2
54.0%
50.6%
P3
52.6%
53.4%
OT
65.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Steve Ott |