Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stapleton wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stapleton 48.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 64.0%
Defensive zone
Stapleton 57.2%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 63.3%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Stapleton
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stapleton
Bozak
Last 6: Stapleton 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
0
Stapleton
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Stapleton
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Stapleton
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stapleton
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (214)
54.2% (962)
-7.0%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
57.9% (266)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
52.1% (188)
+14.6%
On power play, Stapleton has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stapleton is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Stapleton shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Stapleton
Bozak
Home
49.6% (115)
58.6% (732)
Away
47.3% (110)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Stapleton
Bozak
P1
54.1%
54.1%
P2
46.3%
55.0%
P3
45.7%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
65.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |